Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 72.144504 81.244603 90.540880 100.715785 111.507925 122.584307 134.782549
2025-10-05 60.888477 74.315643 88.616270 104.850761 122.646387 141.448412 162.706703
2025-10-12 53.427743 69.316597 86.767005 107.090144 129.863770 154.378643 182.552924
2025-10-19 46.051317 63.430290 83.085831 106.519693 133.296161 162.586144 196.712968
2025-10-26 40.076068 58.481311 79.881214 105.942143 136.234801 169.829458 209.424323
2025-11-02 35.711464 55.005282 78.012902 106.561678 140.237818 178.018367 222.971218
2025-11-09 31.255915 50.997107 75.166936 105.729273 142.305002 183.797013 233.611742
2025-11-16 27.848488 48.015661 73.324039 105.877940 145.337757 190.535407 245.218175
2025-11-23 24.340489 44.589020 70.681219 104.844386 146.794699 195.309337 254.451213
2025-11-30 22.237594 42.890422 70.095726 106.229653 151.055850 203.285327 267.327137
2025-12-07 20.462250 41.495290 69.788904 107.870784 155.555889 211.491463 280.434005
2025-12-14 17.893107 38.720476 67.491700 106.854064 156.699807 215.639848 288.730594
2025-12-21 15.112928 35.391547 64.297817 104.588471 156.253452 217.884071 294.819911
2025-12-28 14.580517 35.527626 65.850466 108.493083 163.496539 229.377492 311.870206
2026-01-04 13.619454 34.879485 66.244953 110.829655 168.742683 238.443504 326.032355
2026-01-11 11.901025 32.805058 64.501011 110.239085 170.228136 242.904165 334.676279
2026-01-18 10.357117 30.857210 62.825512 109.651676 171.650026 247.237667 343.129886
2026-01-25 9.268416 29.600989 62.090314 110.283130 174.591562 253.403654 353.764017
2026-02-01 7.941281 27.733378 60.334272 109.434414 175.564542 257.104934 361.396928
2026-02-08 6.963756 26.416461 59.340679 109.585999 177.795347 262.332523 370.855480
2026-02-15 5.848508 24.647116 57.541435 108.532075 178.393387 265.492019 377.774289
2026-02-22 5.295482 24.010986 57.500291 109.944625 182.223128 272.674911 389.589810
2026-03-01 4.833004 23.516103 57.655193 111.617879 186.387394 280.273270 401.915437